Day 2 of the 2012 Rolex Sydney Hobart has so far played out as predicted. The largest yachts have profited hugely from the overnight swing in wind direction to the northeast; one yacht in particular.
At 17:30AEDT five-time Rolex Sydney Hobart line honours winner,
Wild Oats XI, lay about 40 nautical miles ahead of her own
record pace as she closed on Tasmania. In the process, she has
brutally exposed the shortcomings of her competitors in
straight-line speed sailing, even drawing out a 50nm lead over
fellow maxi Ragamuffin Loyal.
Wild Oats XI appears on the cusp of a remarkable repeat
of her 2005 triple-crown success: first boat home, new course
record and overall win. Well in front of her rivals and the record
on the water, all day long she has been trading the top handicap
position with Peter Harburg's Black Jack, according to the
Cruising Yacht Club of Australia's position tracker.
Harburg has his own history making in mind: to become the first yacht from Queensland to lift the Tattersalls' Cup. He will not be getting over-excited. This being a yacht race, the organizers are a long way from inscribing names onto silverware.
Wild Oats XI's dream run will come to an end as the second weather transition kicks in during the night. The wind is forecast to die and to gradually back to the west, before steadily building into an, at times, strong southwesterly.
The timing of this change, and the ability of skipper Mark
Richards' tactical team to get though it with minimum disruption,
will determine the eventual outcome. Wild Oats XI must
finish before 07:40 AEDT tomorrow to break the record of one day,
18 hours, 40 minutes and 10 seconds.
For the smaller yachts yet to enter Bass Strait, the northeasterly
looks likely to hang in until around midnight on 27 December. From
then on the expected series of fronts moving through the Strait and
across Tasmania will dramatically affect progress; buffeting the
fleet north and south of island's land mass, and at other times
beguiling it with lighter, more fickle breeze, particularly in its
lee.
By RegattaNews/Key Partners